ESPN has used its super computers to predict the probability of each game on the 2025 Texas Longhorns football schedule. What is Texas' final record?
The new Texas Longhorns football season begins in less than a week. The hype is building towards the first game of the campaign, a rematch of last year's college football semifinal in the Cotton Bowl between the Texas Longhorns and the Ohio State Buckeyes.
Texas is led by new starting quarterback Arch Manning. After two years on the bench behind Quinn Ewers, the former No. 1 recruit in the nation will take over a Longhorns offense that should be even more dynamic in 2025.
UT's defense could be one of the best in college football. Anthony Hill, Colin Simmons and Michael Taaffe are all preseason first-team All-Americans and provide leadership at all three position groups.
The Longhorns enter the year as the preseason No. 1 team in both the AP Top 25 poll and the US LBM Coaches Poll for the first time in school history.
Now that we know what the press and coaches think of Texas before the season starts, what do the ESPN super computers think? ESPN's FPI predicts every game of the season and has an optimistic view of the coming season.
Aug. 31: Texas Longhorns at Ohio State Buckeyes
Location: Ohio Stadium (Columbus, OH)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 53.3%
Comment: It's tight, but the ESPN computers give Texas the nod on the road.
Projected Record: 1-0
Sept. 6: San Jose State Spartans at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 98.7%
Comment: Texas gets a big win at home.
Projected Record: 2-0
Sept. 13: UTEP Miners at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 99.0%
Comment: ESPN's computers will never say 100%, but this is close.
Projected Record: 3-0
Sept. 20: Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 99.0%
Comment: Another "almost" 100% lock for the Longhorns
Projected Record: 4-0
Oct. 4: Texas Longhorns at Florida Gators
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Gainesville, FL)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 70.3%
Comment: This could be a dangerous road game at the Swamp, but ESPN's computers don't seem to worried.
Projected Record: 5-0
Oct. 11: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (in Dallas)
Location: Cotton Bowl Stadium (Dallas, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 84.5%
Comment: The ESPN computers don't seem to concerned about new OU QB John Mateer.
Projected Record: 6-0
Oct. 18: Texas Longhorns at Kentucky Wildcats
Location: Kroger Field (Lexington, KY)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 86.2%
Comment: Texas' win probability over the Wildcats is just a tad higher than it was for the Sooners.
Projected Record: 7-0
Oct. 25: Texas Longhorns at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Location: Davis Wade Stadium (Starkville, MS)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 91.3%
Comment: ESPN's computers can't believe this is actually a conference game.
Projected Record: 8-0
Nov. 1: Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 94.4%
Comment: Vandy is shown no respect by the ESPN computers.
Projected Record: 9-0
Nov. 15: Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs
Location: Sanford Stadium (Athens, GA)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 54.3%
Comment: ESPN computers give the Horns a very slight edge Between the Hedges.
Projected Record: 10-0
Nov. 22: Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 89.6%
Comment: ESPN's computers think Texas has an almost 90% chance to beat their "rivals" from Fayetteville.
Projected Record: 11-0
Nov. 28: Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Longhorns
Location: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, TX)
Predicted winner: Texas
Longhorns win probability: 79.3%
Comment: The ESPN computers love the Longhorns and give UT almost an 80% chance to beat A&M again.
Projected Final Record: 12-0
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This article originally appeared on Longhorns Wire: ESPN game-by-game predictions for 2025 Texas football schedule
Category: General Sports
